Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000059 0.000064 0.000070 0.000077 0.000084 0.000093 0.000102
2025-11-16 0.000048 0.000056 0.000064 0.000075 0.000087 0.000101 0.000119
2025-11-23 0.000044 0.000052 0.000063 0.000076 0.000092 0.000112 0.000138
2025-11-30 0.000040 0.000049 0.000060 0.000075 0.000094 0.000119 0.000153
2025-12-07 0.000035 0.000044 0.000056 0.000071 0.000093 0.000120 0.000160
2025-12-14 0.000031 0.000040 0.000052 0.000068 0.000091 0.000121 0.000166
2025-12-21 0.000029 0.000037 0.000049 0.000066 0.000089 0.000122 0.000173
2025-12-28 0.000026 0.000035 0.000046 0.000063 0.000087 0.000122 0.000177
2026-01-04 0.000024 0.000032 0.000043 0.000060 0.000085 0.000121 0.000180
2026-01-11 0.000022 0.000031 0.000042 0.000059 0.000086 0.000125 0.000190
2026-01-18 0.000022 0.000030 0.000042 0.000061 0.000090 0.000134 0.000209
2026-01-25 0.000024 0.000034 0.000049 0.000072 0.000110 0.000169 0.000276
2026-02-01 0.000023 0.000033 0.000048 0.000073 0.000113 0.000179 0.000303
2026-02-08 0.000021 0.000031 0.000046 0.000071 0.000112 0.000183 0.000318
2026-02-15 0.000020 0.000030 0.000046 0.000072 0.000116 0.000195 0.000352
2026-02-22 0.000019 0.000029 0.000044 0.000071 0.000118 0.000202 0.000377
2026-03-01 0.000018 0.000027 0.000042 0.000068 0.000114 0.000200 0.000382
2026-03-08 0.000016 0.000025 0.000039 0.000065 0.000111 0.000198 0.000387
2026-03-15 0.000015 0.000024 0.000037 0.000062 0.000109 0.000197 0.000396
2026-03-22 0.000014 0.000022 0.000035 0.000059 0.000105 0.000195 0.000399
2026-03-29 0.000013 0.000021 0.000033 0.000057 0.000102 0.000192 0.000403
2026-04-05 0.000013 0.000020 0.000033 0.000056 0.000103 0.000197 0.000424
2026-04-12 0.000012 0.000020 0.000033 0.000058 0.000107 0.000211 0.000468